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15 Replies Last post : Nov 5, 2009 9:44 PM byJay Forte  
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Apr 17, 2009
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What should you be doing now to plan for -- and capitalize on -- the economic recovery?

Creation Date : Sep 22, 2009 5:48 PM | Modification Date : Sep 24, 2009 4:41 PM

If the recession is indeed "very likely over," as Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke suggested recently, what then should executives and managers be focusing on and thinking about right now -- to put their businesses in the best possible position to capitalize when the economy picks up steam again? Conversely, what would they be wise not to be thinking about and focusing on any longer?

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17 posts since
Jul 15, 2009

Expert Answer

That is the trillion-dollar question many of us are asking now. While most agree that the recession is indeed over, managing the recovery may require skillful maneuvering. Here are some tips to help small- and medium-sized business managers not only survive but thrive during this transitionary period.

 

Reach out to your customers. Many are still shell-shocked and, as such, are fearful of spending. Let them know that your products/services are better than before and that they will need them now more than ever. Most important, ease them back into purchases. Offer to let them try out one new item before selling them the entire catalog.

 

Continue to manage your spending. Many of us have been in lockdown mode this past year when it comes to expenses. While it still makes sense to be mindful of the company budget, it may be time to ease up on the purse strings a bit. In a thriving economy, you need to spend money to make money. While we are not quite there yet, it might be time to test the waters by spending on some company needs (vs. company wants).

 

Seek out new opportunities. Some of the best businesses have been created during the worst times. Take advantage of the emerging new economy to see what more your company can offer. Consumers and businesses will have changed in the aftermath of the recession and change often leads to opportunity.

 

Reward loyalty. Your employees have stood by you and your company during the recession and many have endured setbacks including lost wages and benefits. Show them you appreciate their sacrifice. While it’s probably too soon to dish out Wall Street-type bonuses, a gift card or luncheon can go a long way.

 

Learn to hedge. Many of us lost sight of this in the years preceding the recession. We overborrowed and overspent. While the recession may be over, it can easily reemerge. Don’t repeat the mistakes of the past. Make sure your company maintains sufficient liquid reserves such that no matter what happens, now or in the future, it will survive.

Reuben Advani

Reuben is the founder and president of Telestrat Education. The company offers mini-MBA seminars to students, corporate managers and law firms across the globe. Reuben is a highly sought after public speaker and has addressed audiences across the United States, Europe and Asia. He is also the author of the popular business book, "The Wall Street MBA" (McGraw-Hill). Reuben began his career with the investment bank Morgan Stanley, where he worked in the firm's corporate finance divison. He holds a BA from Yale and an MBA from The Wharton School, and has taught university-level finance.

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11 posts since
Jul 9, 2009

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Clearly recessions are macro events with micro implications. Bernanke’s assertion that the recession is very likely over should be considered as one input into your own determination of the micro conditions for your particular business. Ask yourselves these questions:

  • 1. Are your customers in greater need of your products today than they were six months ago?
  • 2. Do you anticipate that your customers will have more economic resources - cash or other - to invest in your business?
  • 3. Is your market smaller, the same or larger? How have changing conditions changed the profile of your customer base?
  • 4. How have your competitors fared in this downturn? Have they dropped offerings you could deliver
  • 5. With this reset in mind, what is the expectation of your customer base? Lower investment upfront? Smaller purchases? Or, is there pent-up demand that will rise when conditions improve?

Then do some scenario planning:

How are you prepared to handle an increase in sales volume? Do you have access to the inputs? At what cost? Have delivery times changed?

  • 1. Labor: Can you scale up without making long-term commitments? Can you use part-timers, consultants or lesser-priced employees?
  • 2. If you business requires training, do you have the right training system in place? Quiet times are a good time to invest in streamlining systems and training.
  • 3. In the event of a prolonged downturn or flat cycle, are there opportunities to consolidate the market – acquire a competitor and reduce costs?
  • Recoveries can be rocky but with a plan to address the uncertainties, you’ll be ahead of the game regardless of where things go.

Vince Thompson

Vince Thompson has extensive media experience in media and writes and speaks on sales and management. His consulting firm, Middleshift, helps Internet companies build revenue by creating advertising solutions and sales strategies. Middleshift's client list includes companies such as Break.com, TVGuide.com, Manta.com, Spark Networks and Michael Eisner's Vuguru.

Previously, Vince lead ad sales efforts for AOL and Facebook. Vince is also CEO of Media2Watch, a niche media company in the entertainment business operating www.Girl2Watch.com; a site that profiles up and coming celebrities.

He is the author of the bestselling business book, "Ignited: Manager's Light Up Your Company and Career for More Power, More Purpose and More Success" on FT Press and is a contributing author to the Iowa Press text, "Media Selling".

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5 posts since
Jul 9, 2009

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The key to business success is relationships – relationships with your employees so they will do good work and provide ideas, relationships with your customers so they will be loyal and tell you how to get better. Therefore, the best thing to do as the recovery takes hold is to do whatever necessary to repair important relationships that were harmed by actions you may have taken during the economic crisis that you thought were necessary to survive.

One way to repair relationships is to apologize.

 

Research in consumer behavior shows that when businesses admit mistakes and problems, apologize, and provide some credible indication of what steps they have taken so the problem doesn’t recur, customers are quite forgiving. Employees, too, understand the economic stress companies have faced. They also can by won back by heartfelt expressions of sympathy and concern and concrete actions to show that the relationship matters. Figure out who matters, and be sure they are still with you – customers, suppliers, creditors, employees – and, if not, win them back.

Jeffrey Pfeffer

Jeffrey Pfeffer has been teaching organizational behavior classes at the Graduate School of Business, Stanford University, since 1979. He is the author or co-author of 13 books, including "Hard Facts, Dangerous Half-Truths And Total Nonsense: Profiting from Evidence-Based Management." Pfeffer's latest book, tentatively entitled "Power Rules: An Organizational Survival Guide," will be published in early 2010 by HarperCollins.

Pfeffer has appeared in segments on CBS Sunday Morning, 60 Minutes, and CNBC, and currently serves on the board of directors of the for-profit company Audible Magic as well as nonprofits Quantum Leap Healthcare and The San Francisco Playhouse.

More about Pfeffer at here: Evidence-based management

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6 posts since
Jul 9, 2009

Expert Answer

Businesses are starting to get busier and before too long, we will find ourselves out the recession. There are many employees out there that have been waiting patiently for new jobs and opportunities to become more widely available. Managers have enjoyed record setting retention levels over the last 18 months and some have mistakenly taken this for granted.

It will be very important for managers in companies of all sizes and industries to consider who on their teams are likely to stay as things improve, and who may not. These types of assessments or “Talent Reviews” are an essential part of a strong overall Talent Management Strategy, and should be implemented in one form or another in good times or bad. They can actually be pretty simple as long as they cover some key points:

  • Assess everyone in your team.
  • Determine their likeliness to stay (usually relying on informal data).
  • Revisit their training and development plan.
  • Identify their goals for advancement.
  • Calibrate their goals with the needs of the business
  • I am concerned that managers are not paying enough attention to this and that more teams will unravel because of turnover than need be in the coming months. The managers that focus some attention and effort back to individuals within the workgroup and to the team itself, will always outperform peers, but as the job market opens up, that gap will only widen.

    Hal Adler

    Hal Adler is president and founder of Leadership Landing, a provider of executive coaching, networking and consulting services. He is the former president of the Great Place to Work Institute, the global research and consulting firm best known for helping to create the gold standard in workplace recognition: the annual FORTUNE 100 Best Companies to Work For. Hal previously held leadership positions at The Center for Talent Retention, Manpower, and the Training Arts Institute, an organization that he founded.

    Follow Hal on Twitter.

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    7 posts since
    Jul 9, 2009

    Expert Answer

    Businesses are starting to get busier and before too long, we will find ourselves out the recession. There are many employees out there that have been waiting patiently for new jobs and opportunities to become more widely available. Managers have enjoyed record setting retention levels over the last 18 months and some have mistakenly taken this for granted.

     

    First, reflect back to what you learned during the recession so that those lessons are embedded in going forward.  We have seen companies learn “organization" lessons in three areas.

     

    Culture:  we learned how to be bold, fast, and decisive.  Keep that culture going.

    Communication:  we learned how to be more transparent, open, and candid.  Keep the communication lines open with all employees.

    Customer: we learned how to serve and target key customers.  Keep personalizing the customer experience.

     

    A crisis is a terrible thing to waste, do not waste it by making sure that what you learned gets embedded.

     

    Second, plan on going forward to fully differentiate yourself.  Make your culture an outside/in activity.  Begin your culture change with your customer expectations and your firm brand.  Know what it is you want to be known for by your best customers and translate that expectation into leadership and management actions.

     

    Then, be very attentive to talent.  Make sure that your employees are not only able and willing to do the work, but find meaning in the work.  One of the great risks coming out of recession is that the gratitude attitude among employees will create a false positive.  Employee retention and survey scores may be artificially high because employees are grateful to have a job.  But, memories are longer then recessions and if you treated employees badly durin ghte recession, they may leave coming out.  Work to help employees find meaning in the work that they do so hat they will be not only competent and committed, but contributing fully.

    Dave Ulrich

    Dave Ulrich is a cofounder of The RBL Group and a business professor at the University of Michigan Ross School of Business. He has written 15 books about human resources, including "The Leadership Code: Five Rules to Lead." Dave serves on the board of directors of Herman Miller, and is a Fellow with the National Academy of Human Resources. With his colleagues Wayne Brockbank and Jon Younger, he has articulated how the modern HR organization can be organized into shared services, centers of expertise and business partners (HR Value Proposition). He has also co-directed research on over 40,000 respondents about the competencies required for successful HR professionals (HR Competencies).

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    4 posts since
    Jul 13, 2009

    Managers of small- and medium-sized businesses should do three things:

  • Figure out where their next strategic “thrust” is. For example, is there a type of customer, type of product, type of project that represents higher margins and growth potential than normal offerings? If yes, then focus disproportionate energy there. We call that “customer pruning” or “product pruning.”
  • Fire the low performers you were afraid to fire during the recession.
  • Hire 3 or 4 superstar performers -- “A players” who will help you execute on your post-recession growth strategy. Use the A Method for Hiring to reduce your hiring mistakes from 50% to less than 10%. Grow with the right who in the right where, doing the right what, to build a valuable company.
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    9 posts since
    Jul 9, 2009

    Expert Answer

    As the economy continues to recover, the market for talent is only going to get hotter. Hiring freezes are going to be lifted, and companies who may have shed talent over the course of the downturn are going to start hiring again.

    When a downturn becomes an upturn, some of your best and brightest may see an opening to move on to the next big opportunity. Don’t give them the excuse to entertain that opportunity.

    There are a number of different ways to do this, and not all of them can work for every situation. Some companies will want to consider restructuring roles to help individuals grow and give them new experiences. Others will want to give people opportunities for individual development, either through specific conferences or courses. Some will give people access to Board members, either at a Board meeting through a presentation they’ve asked them to prepare, or an invitation to the Board dinner the night before the Board meeting.

    And, yes, there’s always special off-cycle awards of equity that only vest after a period of time, a little something extra to align interests with those of shareholders, and give them more reasons to invest in – and stick with – the organization. The point is to make it personal – and to do it soon. Doing this does take some creativity and thought, but it’s not intended for everyone. We’re not talking about your broad-based population here. This really should be focused on that handful of people that the company has identified as those future (or current) leaders that you need to hold onto.

    The market may rebound, and the products may start flying off the shelves again in the near-term. But without your best people in tow. Your long-term outlook may be at risk.

    David Wise

    David Wise advises boards of directors and senior management on all aspects of executive pay as a senior consultant at Hay Group. His clients range from small private companies to global Fortune 50 corporations; they include Morgan Stanley, Anheuser-Busch InBev and RCN.

    David is also a frequent speaker and is often featured in national media outlets, including The Wall Street Journal and "CBS Evening News with Katie Couric". He has authored several published articles, and has lectured in both university and graduate school settings.

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    2 posts since
    Jul 9, 2009

    Expert Answer

    What is the needle that really needs to be moved now in the company, and what performance improvements, in terms of focus, recalibration of structures, and allocation of resources, is most critical for our next phase? And, how can we ensure that this conversation happens with the right people, with the right frequency?

    David Allen

    David Allen is an international author, lecturer and chairman of the David Allen Company, a management consulting, coaching, and training company. In the last 20 years he has helped hundreds of organizations worldwide improve their productivity, including many Fortune 500 corporations and government agencies. He is the author of three books -- the best-selling "Getting Things Done: the Art of Stress-Free Productivity" (Viking; 2001); "Ready for Anything: 52 Productivity Principles for Getting Things Done" (Viking; 2003); and, "Making It All Work: Winning at the Game of Work and the Business of Life" (Viking; 2008). He is a popular keynote speaker on the topics of time and stress management, individual and team productivity, and high-performance work practices.

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    50 posts since
    Jul 9, 2009

    Expert Answer

    Being an information security guy and seeing what SMBs are up against in this area, I recommend that managers set aside some time and money to find where their information systems are at risk. Be it their Web application, laptop computers and BlackBerrys, or internal network access controls (passwords and file permissions), I can say with near 100% certainty that weaknesses are there waiting to be exploited by an external attacker or malicious insider. Once it's determined where the business risks are, you can then put reasonable technical controls, processes, and documentation in place to help minimize the chances of something going awry.

     

    Like the Chinese proverb says "The best time to plant a tree was 20 years ago. The next best time is now." So now's a good time to do this before things get busier and the business expands. Because with each of these comes information security and compliance complexities that'll only continue to grow. I have several clients who thought about security when they were small and they have a much better grasp of things than larger organizations that have to start from scratch once the business is more mature.

    Kevin Beaver

    Kevin Beaver is an independent information security consultant, speaker, and expert witness with Atlanta-based Principle Logic. A Certified Information Systems Security Professional, he has more than 20 years' experience in the industry and specializes in performing independent information security assessments revolving around compliance and information risk management. Kevin has authored/co-authored seven books on information security, including "Hacking For Dummies" and "Hacking Wireless Networks For Dummies." He's also the creator of the Security On Wheels information security audio books and blog, which provide security learning for IT professionals on the go. Check out Kevin's security blog or follow him on Twitter.

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    9 posts since
    Jul 9, 2009

    Expert Answer

    Over the last 12 months, employees have taken pay cuts and unpaid time off, received no bonuses, and seen their colleagues laid-off, all to help keep their companies afloat. This tumult has shaken employee confidence, and with it loyalty.

     

    As the economy turns around, you need to be ahead of the curve in evaluating pay and recognizing hard work. If not, your company could have a major employee retention problem, which could kill your chance to capitalize on the economic turn-around.

    How soon should you act? Here is a clue: only a year after Lehman Brothers declared bankruptcy, you would think any investment banker who still had a job would be happy. Investment bankers are also the job category where we have seen in the PayScale data the largest drops in pay over the last two years.

     

    However, talking to colleagues inside the industry, major investment banks are already seeing top employees jumping ship to hedge funds at an alarming rate. Why? Because salaries and bonuses at the banks have not rebounded quickly enough to reflect the current market for talent.

    Now is a good time to decide who your key employees are, and make sure their pay is competitive with the market going forward. Market pricing your employees will be tricky. Data from even 10 months ago may be behind the curve as the economy rebounds, and you will need to anticipate what other companies will pay as the economy picks up steam.

    Al Lee

    Al Lee, PhD., is the director of quantitative analysis at PayScale, the world leader in online compensation data collection. With 20 years' experience in data analysis, algorithm design, and software development, Al helped develop PayScale's proprietary automated system for determining the market price of workers and jobs. Before joining PayScale in 2005, he worked for six years at Microsoft. Al is a former physics professor and high energy physics researcher at Duke University.

    Follow Dr. Lee on Twitter.

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    5 posts since
    Jul 9, 2009

    Expert Answer

    Last week I was speaking with the CEO of an insurance company and asked him what's been keeping him awake at night. His response was that he recently realized that he'd spent the past ten months in a fetal position. "Almost everyone, "he said, "including me, was shocked by the precipitous drop in the economy and moved into survival mode," adding, "but I've realized that survival mode isn't going to cut it."

     

    While most of us have been in survival mode the past year conserving and stockpiling cash, cutting expenses, reducing head count and delaying capital expenditures there's a small group among us who realized that the US economy has withstood sixty economic contractions, recessions and depressions since record keeping began in 1796 and that each has been  followed by a robust expansion. Instead of debating whether the recovery will be a W, V or L,  business leaders should simply realize that there will be a recovery and be ready for it. For some companies who have been in survival mode it's going to be tough to get going again because of smarter competitors who used this brief breather getting prepared for the inevitable surge in economic activity and who've been plotting how to gain market share from competitors who have been hiding underneath the bedcovers.

     

    Here are the four things that must be addressed before authentic growth takes place:

     

    1. Does every individual in the company know and buy into the organization's single BIG objective? If people don't know what the organization is trying to achieve they won't have any emotional connectivity. Recent Gallup polls prove that as many as 72% of US workers admit to just 'showing up."

     

    2. Does every individual in the company know the firm's strategy and their role in it? Secret strategies are stupid because workers don’t know why they're doing what they're being asked to do, there's zero accountability and corners get cut and illegal stuff frequently happens. The strategy should be transparent and out there for everyone (workers, customers, vendors and shareholders) to know.


    3. Is there a set of guiding principles in place - known and understood by everyone - so that right decisions can be quickly made? Most organizations waste valuable time in self-important, time consuming discussions. Again, this is dumb. When you have a set of guiding principles for making decisions they get made with the snap of the fingers!

     

    4. Does every individual in the organization understand how what they do creates economic value and how to measure it? Unless people know how what they do creates economic value there's no scoring and without scoring there's no emotional or fair financial pay-off. Imagine going to a basketball game where no score was kept. Boring!

     

    If a leader makes certain that the preceding four things have happened they will realize explosive growth. If they fail to take heed, it'll simply be more of the same old-same old. Yawn.

    Jason Jennings

    Jason Jennings has spent 20 years founding and leading successful businesses and teaching other companies how to achieve their full economic potential.

    Jason was the youngest radio station group owner in the world and his legendary programming and sales strategies are credited with revolutionizing many parts of the broadcasting industry. Later, he founded Jennings-McGlothlin & Company, a consulting firm that became the nation's largest media consultancy.

    He has written several books, including the New York Times bestseller "It's Not The Big That Eat The Small - It's The Fast That Eat The Slow." His latest book, "Hit the Ground Running, A Manual for New Leaders," has received rave reviews from Publisher's Weekly and TheStreet.com.

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    1 posts since
    Oct 2, 2009

    All Companies:  Clean out your closets...get rid of dead wood...invest in marketing spend (to make noise while everyone else panics)...eliminate unnecessary spending, line by line.  Use this time to "sharpen your axe", so you can leverage performance on the upswing.

     

    Small Companies:  Move up the pipeline to larger clients. Smaller clients may disappear in this market, but larger firms are evaluating supplier relationships and value delivery. You may easily find that larger prospects that elected to hire larger competitors before will give you an audience now.  Stress your ROI in comparison with larger firms that carry much more overhead.

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    85 posts since
    Jul 31, 2009

    To borrow Jow Pines  term  of this being  an "experience economy"  I think it is vital for your company to be authentic and  render an authentic experience for your customers they can see a fake.   There is a lot of hurt and distrust out  there  now. If they see your company being true to itself they will be drawn to you. It is a perfect time to gain market share. Like others said, dump the dead wood.  Become authentic and read everybody else's post above mine.  they said it all.

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    19 posts since
    Jul 31, 2009

    Three words:  Marketing, Marketing and Marketing...

     

    Studies have repeatedly shown that three things happen for companies that market themselves during a downturn...

     

    1. They do better during the downturn than their competitors (because everyone else has stopped marketing themselves).

     

    2. They come out of the downturn earlier (because more customers switch and start buying from them -- they get a bigger share of the small pie).

     

    3. They do better after the downturn (because they have gained market share during the downturn, and that gained share continues to grow).

     

     

    So, exactly what kind of marketing should you be doing?  The kind that clearly and powerfully differentiates you from your competitors.  The kind that repeats your focused, differentiating message over and over.

     

    This is not rocket science, it's simply the way buyers' minds work.  They buy the products/services they most prefer.  Always have, always will.  To get more share, you have to change the buyers' thinking and preferences in your favor.  There's no way around that.  And the fastest way to do it is with strong, intelligent, consistent, differentiating marketing.

     

    Just look at what the big guys do when thay have serious dollars riding on every point of market share and need to make things happen or change quickly — see http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704754804574494290698479688.html#  (And by the way, you'll notice that they don't rely on Twitter or Facebook or starting a blog.)

     

     

    Al Shultz

    http://www.alshultz.com

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    36 posts since
    Sep 19, 2009

    Expert Answer

    You should be rebuilding the quality of your team,and using the time to augment team skills, build team unity and develop a more significant culture that connects to its employees and customers to hunt for opportunities. Here is why:

     

    1, There is indeed a great supply of unemployed talent - there is no reason why you do not have the best in your organization.

    2. Today's workplace must do more with less, requiring that each employee be hired into the right role. Now, you have choices you have not had before. Learn to hire for talents, fit and strengths. Focus on defining, sourcing and developing the right people.

    3. Your people are your profits - they are the source of your innovation, efficiency, connection to customers and competitiveness.You must use the time you have to build a cohesive, interactive, high performance and connected workplace culture.

    4. You must get close to your customers and closer to your employees. These people are the eyes and ears to the world - they keep you informed, tell you their ideas to improve and new things you should be doing. A culture that is focused on each commits the extra effort to build the rapport with each to encourage them to share what they know and think. Connecting to employees and customers is a daily event.

    5. You must help your employees love what they do. Studies show that the emotional connection between employees and their work is what creates the best performance. Start job sculpting - customizing components of each employees' job to include things that appeal to them emotionally and will create a business impact. Help them love what they do.

    6. There will be a significant employee exodus as the economy improves as many organizations took advantage of their employees instead of respecting, valuing and appreciating them. Today, find a reason to celebrate the work of your employees. Make appreciation a hallmark of your culture.

    7. Require all employees to be on the "hunt for opportunities." Develop a culture of optimism - see all events as opportunities to improve efficiency, quality, profitability or customer loyalty. Require employees to be part of discussions to improve. Hold employees accountable to generate ideas, solve problems and start to see opportunities for the business.

     

    Good days or bad days, successful companies are always connecting to their employees and customers. While others are cutting expenses and eroding the performance power of their teams, build yours up. Get the right people. Build the right culture. Empower them and make them accountable for finding value opportunities. This way, when the economy improves, your team will already be well ahead of the chaos that will ensue.

    Jay Forte

    Jay is the president of Humanetrics, a financial executive and a corporate educator who now advises organizations on how to recruit and retain the best employees. He is a frequent speaker and author of "Fire Up! Your Employees and Smoke Your Competition" (2009) and the online resource, "Stand Out and Get Hired" (2009). Keep up with Jay's blog at Live Fired UP! Or check out his Power Performance articles on Bizmore, in which he offers his insight to todays workplace and increasing employee productivity.

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